Demographics of Bhutan

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File:Bhutanese people.jpg
Bhutanese people in national dress at the Wangdi Phodrang festival
File:Bhutan-demography.png
Demographics of Bhutan, Data of FAO, year 2005 ; Number of inhabitants in thousands.

Bhutan's bimodal population estimates

The Royal Government of Bhutan lists their country's population as 734,340 (2003). The CIA Factbook estimates the population at 2,232,291.[1][2] What accounts for this discrepancy?

One explanation given inside Bhutan is that the higher CIA numbers ultimately trace back to an inflated population number the Bhutanese government supplied to the United Nations in the early 1970s in order to gain entry into that body (the UN reportedly had a cutoff population of one million at that time -- see micronation for justifications in support of such a minimum). According to this theory the CIA population experts have retained this original inflated number year after year while adjusting it each year for normal population growth.

An alternative theory is that the western and central districts of the country wish to underestimate the populations of the southern and eastern districts in order to maintain their historical dominance over those districts. This is the claim made by some Bhutanese refugee groups. Certainly the government numbers do not include people in the refugee camps in Nepal and other persons forced out of Bhutan, which total approximately 125,000.

The Bhutanese numbers can be reconstructed from their 9th Five Year Plan documents[3], which lists the exact number of households in each gewog. If the Bhutanese refugee advocate groups are correct, a spot check of a southern gewog should show a massive under-reporting of population (although this would have to be done by a non-interested party to have credibility).

Demographic data from the CIA World Factbook

Population

2,232,291
Note: other estimates range as low as 810,000 (July 2005 est.)

Age structure

0-14 years: 39.1% (male 452,213/female 420,675)
15-64 years: 56.9% (male 654,109/female 615,431)
65 years and over: 4% (male 45,281/female 44,582) (2005 est.)

Median age

Total: 20.27 years
Male: 20.11 years
Female: 20.44 years (2005 est.)

Population growth rate

2.11% (2005 est.)

Birth rate

34.03 births/1,000 population (2005 est.)

Death rate

12.94 deaths/1,000 population (2005 est.)

Net migration rate

0 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2005 est.)

Sex ratio

At birth: 1.05 male(s)/female
Under 15 years: 1.08 male(s)/female
15-64 years: 1.06 male(s)/female
65 years and over: 1.02 male(s)/female
Total population: 1.07 male(s)/female (2005 est.)

Infant mortality rate

Total: 100.44 deaths/1,000 live births
Male: 98.19 deaths/1,000 live births
Female: 102.81 deaths/1,000 live births (2005 est.)

Life expectancy at birth

Total population: 54.39 years
Male: 54.65 years
Female: 54.11 years (2005 est.)

Total fertility rate

4.81 children born/woman (2005 est.)

HIV/AIDS

Adult prevalence rate: less than 0.1% (2001 est.)
People living with HIV/AIDS: less than 100 (1999 est.)
Deaths: NA

Nationality

Noun: Bhutanese (singular and plural)
Adjective: Bhutanese

Ethnic groups

Bhote 50%, ethnic Nepalese 35% (includes Lhotsampas - one of several Nepalese ethnic groups), indigenous or migrant tribes 15%

Religions

Lamaistic Buddhist 75%, Indian- and Nepalese-influenced Hinduism 25%

Languages

Dzongkha (official), Bhotes speak various Tibetan dialects, Nepalese speak various Nepalese dialects

Literacy

Definition: age 15 and over can read and write
Total population: 42.2%
Male: 56.2%
Female: 28.1% (1995 est.)

References

Template:CIA WFB 2005 and the 2003 U.S. Department of State website.